September 2025: Energy, Alliances, and the New Geopolitics: Ukraine, BRICS, and the Middle East

September 30, 2025

Trump's Ukraine Strategy: So, they say Trump has done a 180 on Ukraine, but has he really changed his personal goal for peace? For now, the fighting goes on. Yes, Ukraine may destroy some of the gasoline production inside Russia, with crude oil prices falling and diminishing income. But on a global economy, without Russian oil it becomes a recession-like scenario and a BRICS advantage. You can spin it, and yes, the US war monger neo-cons try forever to split Russia. The European allies tried to appease the Biden administration and Zelensky, and now you can argue if Russia is halting position rather than continuing the advance. Ignore the news about all the NATO countries' infringement—it is playbook propaganda. If you lean out the window, you simply interpret Trump's 180 as: well, I heard enough. I tried to bring the parties together. If you want to play, we give you the toys, but that is it, good luck. He simply pulled a Jimmy Kimmel satire and mocked Zelensky? ( See some global views ) Is it a suicidal move by the neo-cons and Europe? China, India, and the EU itself need the oil. Hungary and some former Eastern countries will ally with Russia, and at the end, the EU has a better chance to bring back the former USSR than unite and align. Look how they try to finance, with interest and from frozen Russian assets. "If countries see that central bank assets can disappear when it suits European politicians, then they could withdraw their reserves from the euro area," De Wever warned. He criticized Merz's statement as unnecessary public relations: "I am happy to talk. But we should work on something instead of spreading opinions every day." Because they have no money, no army, and the EU population has no desire to fight? Or will the US be the big winner, selling arms and oil , and become the greatest exporter of oil—unlikely the BRICS will go all the way with that. North Korea may just have signaled that outcome. His front-row presence signaled a decisive break from North Korea's decades-long pursuit of US recognition and the start of a calculated gamble on a post-Western order. Kim now seeks legitimacy and economic development not from Washington, but from an emerging international community outside US leadership. And reinforced in China's stance to return the Afghan airbase to the US.

The Middle East Crisis: The Middle East—no one can contain Netanyahu. He has a mind of his own. Yes, October 7 was a horrific attack, preventable perhaps, but is it worth destroying these many lives? Perhaps not. Again, the UN and the Europeans, including the Biden administration, failed to continue a constructive Middle East policy in support of Palestine with no restrictions to contain Hamas and the Iran proxies around the region. Now, after some three years of slaughter and a Gaza Strip destroyed and millions of people suffering starvation, Western nations recognize Palestine as a state—the same state that is still housing Hamas's military arm and enabled the election of Hamas as a legitimate government. Having recognized the state of Palestine , Western governments must therefore act in response to the ongoing colonization and dismemberment of that state in concrete, not just symbolic, ways. All these governments should immediately take steps to uphold international law and put real pressure on the Israeli government to stop its campaign of forced displacement, starvation, and slaughter in Gaza, as well as its illegal annexation of the West Bank. They should cease arms sales to Israel, suspend other forms of cooperation, and enforce international court orders against Israeli officials credibly implicated in human rights abuses and war crimes. So, what did these states do to stop Hamas ? Another lip service on a global stage, bombarding Trump's idea to rebuild , opposing Israel's annexation of Gaza, and proposing a two-state solution to continue the existence of Hamas, but to appease a growing outcry against Israel's aggression or defense, as Israel's friends see it. Perhaps listen and talk is a start, but Netanyahu and the settlers need a sit-down as well, and the world needs to call all Iran proxies terrorists and act accordingly. "The world today is undergoing one of the most complex and difficult periods in modern history, marked by unprecedented convergence of global political, economic and humanitarian crises," he added.

NGOs and Global Cooperation: Where are all these NGOs representing law, peace, and justice? At the end, are we looking at simply ideological institutions representing their interests with not really any interest in global cooperation and peace? Well, Christianity and Muslims —both claim to have been assigned a prophet by God, and bloody contests have been fought on ideology. So are we back on it for lack of reasoning in the wake of AI, or is AI an enforcer of ideology ? Multiple studies have shown most language models skew their responses to left-of-center viewpoints, such as imposing taxes on flights, restricting rent increases, and legalizing abortion. Perhaps we have lots of talks, but do we have the correct ones? With a world spending more time and money on armament than coexistence, well, Genghis Khanone cornerstone of Genghis Khan's rule was his commitment to meritocracy. He valued loyalty and skill above all else, often promoting individuals based on their abilities rather than their lineage or social standing. This approach fostered a sense of opportunity and fairness, encouraging talented individuals from diverse backgrounds to contribute to the empire's success —and others tried it. Why not just coexist within borders? Get rid of the UN, who thinks immigration is the resolve for poverty, and the EU as an authoritarian regime controlling rather than governing. Perhaps BRICS has a Confucian approach. The rest of the world should read more Greek philosophers —it may have more substance than today's feel-good ideologies that may be part of a hate culture. Not saying in the old days there was no hate—perhaps a mandate for the UN as a council? Or is AI the answer ? Just lock us up like some countries did during COVID, not literally but in spirit— anxiety it would be. The world is ready for a pandemic?

Peace in Europe: Here's a read from Daniel Ganser— the author of Illegal Wars (translate)—on Russian-German peace as a prerequisite for peace in Europe. According to Friedman, it is crucial for the US that Germany and Russia do not cooperate but fight each other. "The main goal of the United States, for which we have repeatedly waged war—in the First and Second World Wars and also in the Cold War—was the relationship between Russia and Germany. Because united, they are the only power that can threaten us. Our main interest is to make sure that this does not happen."