Geopolitical Focus #2 – March, 2024

Geopolitical Focus #2 – March, 2024: 

Biden's contributions to geopolitics since his election are questionable. Has his administration abandoned energy independence in favor of fulfilling the World Economic Forum's (WEF) agenda by throwing money at various climate initiatives?

Energy independence, particularly in oil and gas, would have allowed the US to control prices and distribution, possibly without impacting emissions. However, drilling elsewhere still amounts to drilling. Remember Trump's move to block the Nord Stream 2 pipeline and offer gas to Germany, initially criticized as foolish. Unexpectedly, Nord Stream 2 faced sabotage, prompting the US and Germany to construct gas delivery docks. Nevertheless, the significant consequence was the surge in oil prices, resulting in record profits for countries like Iran and Russia. These profits bolstered their military capabilities and support for aggressive actions, worsening global tensions. Meanwhile, gasoline prices soared globally, compounded by economic injections fueling inflation. This underscores criticism of the current administration's apparent lack of understanding of global dynamics and finances, relying on lofty visions that have repeatedly fallen short. Additionally, negotiations are not Biden's strength, nor is deal-making, with his diplomats criticized as costly travelers. The silence from the World Economic Forum (WEF) and its chief architect, Klaus Schwab, on these matters is notable.

Is Brett Baier the new war hero supporting the ideas of the French President in sending NATO troops to Ukraine? In an interview conducted by Jennifer Griffin with the Estonian President, she expressed the same if not similar sentiments back in 2022. Griffin is seen as a influential voice in the Ukraine war propaganda and is known for her affinity for television. She is a darling of NATO, directing resources towards war rather than peace efforts. When did Putin make a threat to invade Estonia? NATO must address this independently. There are articles suggesting Russia is preparing for a war with NATO. Does this imply NATO intervention in the current conflict? It seems the Estonian President desires a piece of Russia, and the EU and the West share similar aspirations, perhaps banking on the preservation of oil and gas reserves amidst the rubble. As neighbors, there are two choices, as seen in Ukraine: negotiation or instigation, with careful consideration for the consequences. The current situation in Europe and Germany hints at escalation to a nuclear level. Is this desperation or bluffing, a test to determine which side will yield to negotiations first? Negotiation strategy is integral to resolving this seemingly unwinnable war.

These factors could lead to a devastating, years-long conflict that does not produce a definitive outcome. The United States and its allies thus face a choice about their future strategy. They could begin to try to steer the war toward a negotiated end in the coming months. Or they could do so years from now. If they decide to wait, the fundamentals of the conflict will likely be the same, but the costs of the war—human, financial, and otherwise—will have multiplied.

An effective strategy for what has become the most consequential international crisis in at least a generation therefore requires the United States and its allies to shift their focus and start facilitating an endgame.

Russia held elections, and to no one’s surprise, Putin was re-elected. While Navalny's widow protested, Western media attempts to magnify the nationwide protests. However, they resembled more of a Biden rally, often staged for optics. But is that justification for labeling the election as fraudulent or illegitimate?

Perhaps you can always make the point that his party had the best-oiled Machine, like our democrat friends in the US, at least Russia can vote and count in three Days without Dominion systems? Any idea, should the War with NATO / Ukraine further escalate and Putin is replaced in a Coup by Russian Hardliners, perhaps Putin may be a good balance, or Selinsky has aspirations of a extended Ukraine once he is part of NATO, all scenarios are open as long as you do not count the dead. 

One of the loudest critics finds himself in prison, while the article references a figure named Bill Browder, who once contemplated purchasing or possibly seizing all of Russia in 1990. This begs the question: how does this situation compare to the January 6 insurrectionists? After all, their actions were largely characterized as protests.

At the same time, although there was no need to talk about significant violations during the voting, they still tried to prevent the expression of the will of citizens, both at traditional polling stations and in the REV system. Already on the first day of voting, March 15, several similar cases of provocations became known: visitors to polling stations tried to pour dye on ballot papers in the ballot boxes. There was also one attempted arson, though not inside the polling station, but at the entrance to it. The perpetrators of the incidents have been detained, they face punishment not only under Article 141 of the Criminal Code of the Russian Federation (obstruction of elections), but also under more serious articles.

During the Russian election, voting was allowed in Russian-occupied territories in Ukraine, which led to unelected EU officials rejecting the vote. However, it raises the question: Why have neither the EU nor Western officials ever granted Russians in Ukraine the opportunity to declare their allegiance to a country?

Iran and the democracies in the West, have one thing in common, their leadership is viewed as elitist and disconnected from the people. The EU, Germany and the US, the leading authorities enjoy an approval rating from 8 to 30 some percent, while in Iran 60 percent of the people think of change. For the animosities with Iran go back to the 1950’s, Oil and Weapons.

For more than 20 years, Khamenei has relentlessly winnowed the political elite, turning many former establishment members into disgruntled outliers and dissidents. In the current round of elections, the
regime disqualified scores of regime loyalists who still didn’t pass muster. Khamenei has staffed all the critical sectors of government with the likes of President Ebrahim Raisi, a dull but sinister functionary.

Disenfranchised members of the elite understand that they don’t have a bright future in the post-Khamenei era. Former President Hassan Rouhani loudly complains about his predicament, while Mohammad Khatami, the first and last reforming president to have any power, warns that “there is no sign of the ruling system’s desire for reform and avoiding the mistakes of the past.”

And guess who got it all started… The CIA. Animosities will remain consistent as long as the US is controlling the region… Along with the help of Israel?

Mohammad Mossadegh was a beloved figure in Iran. During his tenure, he introduced a range of social and economic policies, the most significant being the nationalization of the Iranian oil industry. Great Britain had controlled Iran's oil for decades through the Anglo-Iranian Oil Co. After months of talks the prime minister broke off negotiations and denied the British any further involvement in Iran's oil industry. Britain then appealed to the United States for help, which eventually led the CIA to orchestrate the overthrow of Mossadegh and restore power to Mohammad Reza Pahlavi, the last Shah of Iran.

Yes, Biden and Blinken are on their way to resolve the GAZA situation diplomatically, after some 30,000 civilians lost their lives in the hunt for the members of Hamas. Since killing Hamas is the prime goal – Filling their tunnel system with water or perhaps tranquilizers, or just turn the power off for a couple Days would have had about the same effect to bring them to the surface and at the same time secure the Border to Israel? Displacing millions of people, in the process is not even a topic unless it ends in famine and death, so the US is simply doing damage control? And Hamas and its philosophy, well they just move on to another country and regroup? 

The risk of famine in Gaza is imminent, according to a new report published Monday by the Integrated Food Security Phase Classification (IPC). Extreme food shortages have reached famine levels, and without establishing an immediate cease-fire and increasing humanitarian aid to the region, mass death may occur by the end of May. The Hamas-run Gaza Health Ministry estimates that at least 23 children and four adults in Gaza have died from malnutrition or dehydration thus far.

“In my 25 years as a humanitarian this may be, pound for pound, the grimmest analysis I have ever seen,” Refugees International President Jeremy Konyndyk wrote on X, formerly Twitter.

And in the background, we offer millions to Israel to kill Hamas and also beg Iran to stop the Houthis-- another failed attempt on diplomacy.

The UN is dominated by the US, Russia, and China as the latest vote on GAZA cease fire shows, so is this ever going to be resolved, a 2 State proposition certainly not, unless the Palestinian form a “democracy”, but does that stop the expanding settlers, or the US dominance in the region. I would not call these negotiations, but appeasing Israel?

France, the U.K. and the U.S. voted in favor of the resolution. The five permanent Security Council members and nine council members in total must vote in favor for a resolution to be adopted.

“I don’t think Russia and China wanted to let the U.S. start to shape Council diplomacy over Gaza,” said Richard Gowan, an expert on the U.N. for International Crisis Group. “If this resolution had gone through, Washington would have been able to mold future Council debates on the war, sidelining the Russians and Chinese.”

And why would you send the CIA Spy Chief to negotiate a peace agreement? This is possibly just another sign that he US Military complex is making political decisions.

Months of on-and-off indirect talks between the warring parties have failed to deliver a breakthrough. Blinken arrived in Israel on Friday, as the U.S. and its Arab and Western allies raise pressure on Israel and Hamas to reach a deal aimed at freeing Israeli hostages and alleviating the humanitarian crisis in Gaza.

Blinken is making his sixth visit to the region since the war began.

Central Intelligence Agency Director Bill Burns arrived in Qatar on Friday evening to meet Israel’s spy chief, David Barnea, Qatari Prime Minister Sheikh Mohammed bin Abdulrahman al-Thani and the head of Egyptian intelligence, Abbas Kamel. Qatari and Egyptian officials have played a key role in mediating talks between Israel and Hamas, and helped secure a week-long cease-fire in November.

The "Trump syndrome" can be seen in America, but the "Biden Groupies" can be found in the international media -- blowing their horns with warning of another doomsday scenario in Europe and Asia.

It must have been a terrible time under Trump for the "wanna-be" politicians, but what was that so bad? NATO countries are now paying their fair shares and considering defending their own territories. The US is selling natural gas to Germany, and the China policy remains intact. Importantly, there have been no wars. However, Biden tries to blame Iran's aggression on the killing of Qasem Soleimani, rather than on the ease of sanctions and failed diplomatic efforts.

The latest news just in: the attack on Russian concert-goers, following US warnings of public attacks around Moscow. So, what did President Biden have to say about Nord Stream 2? He stated that it will conclude one way or another, with no one held accountable. Could it be that after the unfortunate death of Navalny failed to spark public outcry in Russia, this is another attempt to tarnish Putin's image? Even before any details emerge, does the party issuing the warning already have an idea of who didn't carry it out?

“Our thoughts are going to be with the victims of this terrible, terrible shooting attack,” Kirby said. “There are some moms and dads and brothers and sisters and sons and daughters who haven’t gotten the news yet. This is going to be a tough day.”

The attack followed a statement issued earlier this month by the U.S. Embassy in Moscow that urged the Americans to avoid crowded places in the Russian capital in view of “imminent” plans by extremists to target large gatherings in Moscow, including concerts. The warning was repeated by several other Western embassies.

Asked about the embassy's notice issued on March 7, Kirby referred the question to the State Department, adding: "I don’t think that was related to this specific attack.”

Responding to a question about whether Washington had any prior information about the assault, Kirby responded: “I’m not aware of any advance knowledge that we had of this terrible attack.”

ISIS is claiming responsibility -- You can read about their reasons (if any) here.

For further evidence of the US's double standard in the Ukraine War, and how it resembles the situation in Israel, see this report from Business Insider. It's another platform for Biden's stance on war, potentially influenced by Ukrainian propaganda.

And who fuels the Nazis in the anti-Russian movement, akin to the Azov Battalion in Ukraine? Perhaps Germany's far-right advocates? Like Adolf, who never accepted the loss in WWI, are they now instigating WWIII?

Nikitin has garnered a great deal of personal notoriety even before the formation of the RVC and the beginning of the war in Ukraine. After making a name for himself among neo-Nazi soccer hooligans, he went on to  found the "White Rex" clothing brand and became a mainstay in far-right mixed martial arts circles.

He is believed to have lived in Germany for some time before moving to Ukraine in 2017, where Webber said he formed connections with the Ukrainian National Guard's Azov Battalion, also known for its far-right tendencies. As such, the RVC appears to have at least some sort of relationship with the Ukrainian Armed Forces.

Our next focus will be on all European elections and the shift towards right-wing ideologies -- With some speculation on what could happen if BRIC nations come to dominate US military presence in the world.