Geopolitical Focus – July, 2024

Terrorism is the war of the poor, and war is the terrorism of the rich.

Peter Ustinov

You think the world was watching the Biden – Trump debate? I’m sure Rocket Man, President XI and President Putin got a chuckle out of it. Meanwhile, the Western Democrats continue to bury their heads, or are checking the rolodex for suggestions about a potential replacement. They are still in awe of President Biden's performance during the G7. They all think in bullets and are completely lost.

All the liberal pundits globally claim that Trump is a liar without evidence and Biden had a bad day . See the comments, this is what I would call a cult. They drink the poison if told?

“Well, the president didn’t have a good night, but neither did Donald Trump with lie after lie and his dark vision for America,” North Carolina Gov. Roy Cooper told The Associated Press on Friday, hours before he was set to share a stage with the president in Raleigh. “We cannot send Donald Trump back to the White House. He’s an existential threat to our nation."

House Democratic leader Hakeem Jeffries answered with a flat “no” when asked Friday if Biden should step aside. But the New York lawmaker added that he’s eager to see how Biden would address his performance at his Friday rally.

Rep. James Clyburn, a South Carolina Democrat who was formerly a longtime fixture in House Democratic leadership, said he would likely speak to Biden later Friday and his message would be simple: “Stay the course.”

Left-leaning German member of the European Parliament Marie-Agnes Strack-Zimmermann was quoted as saying: "The Democrats must react immediately and put a new candidate into the race. The fact that a man like Trump could become president again because the Democrats are not in a position to put up a strong candidate against him would be a historic tragedy that the whole world would feel."

The T says “ Taurus ” for Ukraine, and together to Victory, which leads us to the latest developments in the EU and NATO.

You may have heard that after the botched peace meeting in Switzerland with no resolution or accomplishment, the Snake Oil Chief Warrior is leading another get-together, a NATO summit in Washington DC, to celebrate the new Secretary for NATO, Mark Rutte, the Dutch Minister who lost the coalition in his country and as a uniter had or wanted to leave. Together with Ursula van der Leyen and Kaja Kallas, the top EU leadership is united as Putin haters, for Jake Sullivan and John Kirby the propaganda pieces needed to continue to press forward with the war. Like in Switzerland, only war supporters are welcome. This is just another piece of democracy. The ongoing talks to integrate Ukraine into NATO are nothing but an extension of the war.

Rutte - NATO leaders will officially welcome him to their table at a summit in Washington in a little over a week. For Ukraine, the appointment of Rutte, a fierce critic of Vladimir Putin who described the so-called Russian peace plan as "absolutely crazy," was great news.

Ursula van der Leyen - STRASBOURG — European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen invoked the “call of history” as she urged Europeans to bring Ukraine into an EU of more than 30 countries, casting enlargement as an epoch-defining decision for the 27-nation bloc.

“The future of Ukraine is in our Union,” the Commission chief declared in her annual state of the union address in Strasbourg, in which she also opened the door to EU treaty change, if needed.

And to top it out Kaja Kallas - If her nomination is formalized by EU leaders on Thursday and then approved by the European Parliament’s foreign affairs committee, she will become the first Eastern European in the role and the first Estonian to ever clinch one of the EU’s top jobs.

Since Russia launched its full-scale invasion of Ukraine in February 2022, Kallas has been a driving force in EU efforts to punish Russia with sanctions, send military support to Ukraine, and bolster the bloc’s own defense capacities.

The sheer vigor of her anti-Russia stance, which predates the war, had sparked speculation her candidacy for the top diplomat role could be blocked for fear of provoking Moscow.

Think for yourself, is this the new global or just the next step to invade Russia and enter WWIII? The first coup, just hours after the confirmation, it was official that the EU signed a security agreement that was not public before the election, with Ukraine with basically unlimited support.

Did you know that Ukraine became part of Russia under Catherine the Great, and today’s historians compare the event 250 years ago with Russia’s invasion into Ukraine? And that Crimea was really a gift from Khrushchev.

Nearly 250 years ago, Empress Catherine II “the Great” played a similar hand when she attempted to impress the West while ruthlessly enforcing her authority over Russia and the surrounding region. Catherine presented herself to the world as an “Enlightened” autocrat who did not govern as a despot but as a monarch guided by the rule of law and the welfare of her subjects. Yet at the same time, she annexed much of what is now Ukraine through wars with the Ottoman Empire and the partition of Poland and brutally suppressed the largest peasant rebellion in Russian history.

However, Lenin, Stalin, Khrushchev, and potentially Hitler made Ukraine what it is today, but with many other countries that are drawn up on maps, it is always a potential danger zone. Perhaps letting the people choose is often the better way. It always depends on what view you take, but compare this to the American Revolution , perhaps wars 250 years ago were part of nation-building? Unless you are more interested in foreign than US history? And what about the other 100+ wars ?

In the " Manifesto to the Ukrainian People with an Ultimatum to the Central Rada ", drafted by Lenin, Trotsky, and Stalin, the Bolshevik leaders made the paradoxical statement simultaneously recognizing the right of the Ukrainian people to self-determination and denying it in the name of the revolution. Lacking strength in Ukraine, Lenin sent Russian military units to Kiev led by the former security chief of the Provisional Government, Mikhail Muraviev. In January 1918, Muraviev's troops began their advance on Kyiv and in early February seized the capital of the Ukrainian People's Republic after firing 15,000 artillery units on the city. Muraviev's gunners targeted the house of Mikhailo Hrushevsky, bombarding it and setting it afire, causing the death of his family. ^[2]

If you look at the Ethnicity Map, before below, after the 2014 Maidan Coup, it all became Ukrainian, especially with the Selinsky election. Was it a forced opinion or a free choice? Not having elections in 2024 may answer that question. And if you are interested here is an article about “Peace is possible” , but not necessarily with Mr. Rutte, the troublemaker? The English translation here . Please link to PDF if possible,

The more one studies the Western sanctions on Russia and their impact, here is one opinion that seems to align with a strategy to leave the West to its own future and the Eastern part of the world to unite. So far, the sanctions have caused the most harm in Europe, brought the BRICS alliance closer together, and most likely made everyone realize there is no way around China, neither Europe nor the US?

Today’s foreign policy should be geared towards the comprehensive development of relations with the countries of the World Majority. Another obvious, but not yet formulated, goal is to work together with the World Majority countries to ensure the maximally peaceful exit of the West from its nearly five-century-old position of dominance. And the maximally peaceful exit of the U.S. from the hegemony that it enjoyed since the late 1980s (though uncontested for only about the first 15 years). The West should be relocated to a more modest, but worthy, place in the world system. There is no need to kick it out: given the vector of Western development, it will leave by itself. But it is necessary to firmly deter any rearguard actions of the West’s still-powerful organism. Normal relations may be partly restored in a couple of decades or so. But they are not an end in itself.

The Gaza conflict, like the Ukraine War , may have the same roots in principle, the good vs the ugly. In the case of Russia, all of them seem to be ugly, however, in Palestine, the separation between Hamas and the “others” should be an obvious one, but as the ones are treated as terrorists, correctly, the others are degraded to shelters and homelessness and left without any future. In the hope of Israel, they should go wherever they want. In the case of Israel, destroying Hamas may be accomplished, but the breeding pool for a new organization among the 5 million refugees has certainly high potential, and therefore another never-ending war? Here are some of the reasons why? And here are the current governing authorities , a patchwork of elite thinking?

More than a century on: The Balfour Declaration explained

The Balfour Declaration, which resulted in a significant upheaval in the lives of Palestinians, was issued on November 2, 1917.

The declaration turned the Zionist aim of establishing a Jewish state in Palestine into a reality when Britain publicly pledged to establish “a national home for the Jewish people” there.

The pledge is generally viewed as one of the main catalysts of the Nakba – the ethnic cleansing of Palestine in 1948 – and the conflict that ensued with the Zionist state of Israel .

It is regarded as one of the most controversial and contested documents in the modern history of the Arab world and has puzzled historians for decades.

What is the Balfour Declaration?

The Balfour Declaration (“Balfour’s promise” in Arabic) was a public pledge by Britain in 1917 declaring its aim to establish “a national home for the Jewish people” in Palestine.

The statement came in the form of a letter from Britain’s then-foreign secretary, Arthur Balfour, addressed to Lionel Walter Rothschild, a figurehead of the British Jewish community.

It was made during World War I (1914-1918) and was included in the terms of the British Mandate for Palestine after the dissolution of the Ottoman Empire.

The so-called mandate system, set up by the Allied powers, was a thinly veiled form of colonialism and occupation.

The system transferred rule from the territories that were previously controlled by the powers defeated in the war – Germany , Austria-Hungary, the Ottoman Empire, and Bulgaria – to the victors.

The declared aim of the mandate system was to allow the winners of the war to administer the newly emerging states until they could become independent.

The case of Palestine, however, was unique. Unlike the rest of the post-war mandates, the main goal of the British Mandate there was to create the conditions for the establishment of a Jewish “national home” – where Jews constituted less than 10 percent of the population at the time.

And if you wonder how to finish Hamas, here is the British try in 2006 , just a question of what you define as terror or liberation.

Preceding events

Involvement of Britain

Documents published in the Palestine Papers reveal that in 2004 the British intelligence MI6 helped draw up a security plan for a Fatah-led Palestinian Authority. The plan mentioned as an objective, "encourage and enable the Palestinian Authority (PA) to fully meet its security obligations under Phase 1 of the Roadmap". It proposed a number of ways of "degrading the capabilities of rejectionists", naming Hamas, PIJ (Palestinian Islamic Jihad), and the al-Aqsa Brigades. ^[35] The plan was described by the Guardian as a "wide-ranging crackdown on Hamas". ^[36] The supposed plan for a Fatah counter-insurgency against Hamas backfired in June 2006, when Hamas won the 2006 elections. ^[37]

It just leaves you speechless if a country wants to rescue the world as the leader, but fails to build a pier for humanitarian aid because of waves? Or do we only care about politics with implications for elections?

And now even better, look at what the global intelligence is presenting as a long-term solution, sounds like a Native American reservation?

Will Europe become Trump-friendly? After the EU election trended toward, in the eyes of the left – right-wing ideology, Macron's move to ask for elections because of it, may force him to resign. What the reporting says here is simply an accommodation for the readers but not a change in directions, it was an appeasing move like the Biden camp did in 2020, it is a fending off to cling to power, but France will certainly deliver measurable change , unless the seating in the parliament offers surprises beyond the controllable, which could be a left / middle coalition, as the hate of Marie Le Pen will have the left wing collaborate and actually remove candidates either side to beat the LePen candidate? Democracy?

But it might be a sign that the elite thinking in Europe of immigration and wars may come to an end, with similar trends in Italy and Germany?

Some people believe that re-distribution is the way out of poverty, or socialism, but if you read the address the Argentine President delivered at the WEF, perhaps Argentine has learned a lesson of socialist governance, when will Europe follow suit?

Now, if you look at the period between the year 1900 and the year 1950, the growth rate accelerated to 1.66% a year. So you no longer need 107 years to double per capita GDP - but 66. And if you take the period between 1950 and the year 2000, you will see that the growth rate was 2.1%, which would mean that in only 33 years we could double the world's per capita GDP.

This trend, far from stopping, remains well alive today. If we take the period between the years 2000 and 2023, the growth rate again accelerated to 3% a year, which means that we could double world per capita GDP in just 23 years.

That said, when you look at per capita GDP since the year 1800 until today, what you will see is that after the Industrial Revolution, global per capita GDP multiplied by over 15 times, which meant a boom in growth that lifted 90% of the global population out of poverty.

But as long as you have political pundits as this writer, Stalin and Lenin are on their way back , this is demagoguery.